“The world of the past few decades has been the best it will ever be in our lifetime. Instead of cheap and better and faster, we’re rapidly transitioning into a world that’s pricier and worse and slower. Because the world—our world—is breaking apart.”
“The global worker and consumer base is aging into mass retirement. In our rush to urbanize, no replacement generation was ever born.”
“The world’s demographic structure passed the point of no return twenty to forty years ago. The 2020s are the decade when it all breaks apart.”
“Economic development, quality of life, longevity, health, and demographic expansion are all subject to the whims of globalization. Or rather, in this case, deglobalization.”
“A precious few countries have managed a high degree of development while simultaneously avoiding a collapse in birth rates. It is... a painfully short list: the United States, France, Argentina, Sweden, and New Zealand.”
“At their core, all economic models are systems of distribution: deciding who gets what, when, and how.”
“Remove mass consumption due to demographic collapses and the entire economic argument for mass integration collapses. One way or another, our “normal” is going to end, and end soon.”
“Deglobalization will shrink the global whole and shatter what remains into segregated markets. Global aging is collapsing the skilled labor supply. And financial shrinkage will make everything more expensive and more difficult.”
“Even more low-effectiveness inputs required to generate the same volume of food as more conventional practices. You can have organic foods or environmentally friendly foods. You cannot have both.”
Peter Zeihan is an American geopolitical strategist and founder of Zeihan on Geopolitics. He uses topography, economics, demographics, history, and culture to forecast the future. His clients include energy corporations, financial institutions, business associations, agricultural interests, universities, and the U.S. military.
Independent Institute: Review by Robert Gmeiner
TheGeoPolity: Geopolitical strategist Zeihan argues that we are heading toward a period of deglobalization, with ensuing chaos and disaster
Medium: Mapping the Collapse of Civilization…Are demographics destiny?